Mixed Signals: Single-Family Permits Slump While Multifamily Permits Rise
Single-family housing permits continued a downhill trend for the sixth month in a row in June, while an uptick in multifamily permits suggests a potentially stabilizing trend, though it’s important to note its volatility. The housing market’s mixed signals — weak single-family coupled with some resilience in multifamily — could mean continued drag on residential investment and the broader economy this year.
Over the first six months of 2025, the total number of single-family permits issued year to date (YTD) nationwide reached 485,935.On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is a 5.6% decline over the June 2024 level of 514,728. The continuous decline in single-family permits highlights persistently weak housing demand, tied to affordability challenges such as high mortgage rates.
Single-family permits were up YTD in one out of the four regions: The Midwest posted a small increase of 1.8%, while the Northeast was down 1.7%, the South decreased by 6.5%, and the West dropped by 8.1%.
Top 10 Largest Single-Family Markets by Permits
Market | June 2025 (# of units YTD, NSA) |
YTD % Change (compared to June 2024) |
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX | 25,721 | -8% |
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX | 22,599 | -10% |
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ | 13,935 | -13% |
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA | 11,833 | -14% |
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC | 9,485 | -5% |
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL | 8,600 | 13% |
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX | 8,371 | -12% |
Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN | 7,256 | -6% |
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL | 7,057 | -13% |
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA | 6,258 | 5% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
For multifamily, the total number of permits issued YTD nationwide reached 244,812 — a 2.9% increase compared to the June 2024 level of 237,935. For multifamily permits, three out of the four regions posted increases: The Midwest was up by 22.4%, the West was up by 8%, and the South was up by 7.1%, Meanwhile, the Northeast declined steeply by 30%, driven a 40% decline in permits in the New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ MSA.
Top 10 Largest Multifamily Markets by Permits
Market | June 2025 (# of units YTD, NSA) |
YTD % Change (compared to June 2024) |
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ | 14,669 | -40% |
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX | 13,663 | 12% |
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX | 9,066 | 72% |
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL | 8,941 | 24% |
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL | 7,861 | 63% |
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA | 6,624 | -6% |
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ | 6,429 | -22% |
Columbus, OH | 6,313 | 50% |
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA | 5,272 | -28% |
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL | 4,791 | -7% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
NAHB AVP of Forecasting and Analysis Danushka Nanayakkara-Skillington provides more state-level details in this Eye on Housing post.