Mixed Signals: Single-Family Permits Slump While Multifamily Permits Rise | Building Contractors Association of Southwestern Idaho | Boise, Nampa, Caldwell, Idaho | Treasure Valley
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Mixed Signals: Single-Family Permits Slump While Multifamily Permits Rise

Single-family housing permits continued a downhill trend for the sixth month in a row in June, while an uptick in multifamily permits suggests a potentially stabilizing trend, though it’s important to note its volatility. The housing market’s mixed signals — weak single-family coupled with some resilience in multifamily — could mean continued drag on residential investment and the broader economy this year.

Over the first six months of 2025, the total number of single-family permits issued year to date (YTD) nationwide reached 485,935.On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is a 5.6% decline over the June 2024 level of 514,728. The continuous decline in single-family permits highlights persistently weak housing demand, tied to affordability challenges such as high mortgage rates.

Single-family permits were up YTD in one out of the four regions: The Midwest posted a small increase of 1.8%, while the Northeast was down 1.7%, the South decreased by 6.5%, and the West dropped by 8.1%. 

Top 10 Largest Single-Family Markets by Permits

Market June 2025
(# of units YTD, NSA)
YTD % Change
(compared to June 2024)
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX 25,721 -8%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 22,599 -10%
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ 13,935 -13%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 11,833 -14%
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC 9,485 -5%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 8,600 13%
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX 8,371 -12%
Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro-Franklin, TN 7,256 -6%
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 7,057 -13%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 6,258 5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

For multifamily, the total number of permits issued YTD nationwide reached 244,812 — a 2.9% increase compared to the June 2024 level of 237,935. For multifamily permits, three out of the four regions posted increases: The Midwest was up by 22.4%, the West was up by 8%, and the South was up by 7.1%, Meanwhile, the Northeast declined steeply by 30%, driven a 40% decline in permits in the New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ MSA.

Top 10 Largest Multifamily Markets by Permits

Market June 2025
(# of units YTD, NSA)
YTD % Change
(compared to June 2024)
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ 14,669 -40%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 13,663 12%
Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX 9,066 72%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL 8,941 24%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 7,861 63%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 6,624 -6%
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ 6,429 -22%
Columbus, OH 6,313 50%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA 5,272 -28%
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL 4,791 -7%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

NAHB AVP of Forecasting and Analysis Danushka Nanayakkara-Skillington provides more state-level details in this Eye on Housing post.

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